In Reply to: How could ICE be even worse? posted by mh on November 13, 2025 at 10:59:58
lobal fossil fuel emissions are projected to reach a record high in 2025, according to new research published Wednesday by the Global Carbon Project.
The group published its 20th annual global carbon cycle trend analysis in the journal Earth System Science Data, along with a full-year emissions projection for 2025.
Global fossil fuel carbon emissions are expected to grow 1.1% in 2025, the report found, higher than the average growth rate of 0.8% per year over the last ten years.
To limit warming to the goals set out by the Paris Agreement, global emissions would need to have peaked by the end of this year. The projected increase is another reminder that the world still has a way to go to get on track.
“We have to have emissions of CO2 declining every single year over the next 20 to 30 years if we want to leave warming below two degrees,” says Pierre Friedlingstein, a professor at the University of Exeter who focuses on global carbon cycle modeling and led the study.
Read More: The World Is Failing Its 2025 Paris Agreement Target. Now What?
That is far from the case. The 2025 Global Carbon Budget projects 38.1 billion metric tons of CO2 emissions this year from using coal, oil, and gas to fuel society.
In the U.S., where President Donald Trump has rolled back a number of climate initiatives and committed to more oil and gas drilling, emissions are projected to grow by 1.9% this year. China is also expected to see emissions rise by 0.4%—that comes as the country’s emissions have been on the decline in recent years given heavy investments in renewable energy.