In Reply to: Is Texas in play? posted by mh on May 20, 2026 at 10:31:06
It almost needs to be if we are going to flip he senate.
The top 4 are NC, Maine, Alaska, and Ohio. Only NC is likely in the polls.
Iowa, Texas, and Nebraska are going to be needed if any one of the top 4 don't hit. All are long shots according to the polls.
Kalshi have the dems has heavy favorites in Maine/NC and slight favorites in Alaska, and Ohio. GOP slight favorites in the other states.
After the Kashi moved up to 57 to 43 last week, they are back at an almost 50/50 coin flip.
The polls have the GOP winning the senate however if there is a polling error, unlike the Presidential election, it most likely will be in he Dem's favor imo.