Could insider trading on prediction markets help our enemies?


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Posted by mh on August 20, 2026 at 09:28:11

In Reply to: Does anything interesitng happen on Thursday?* posted by mh on August 20, 2026 at 08:55:31

More than 150 wallets on Polymarket International may have traded on inside U.S. military information, attracting copycat ​bets and raising concerns that the market could broadcast signals exploitable by foreign adversaries, according to research published on Thursday.

The analysis by the nonprofit research group ‌Anti-Corruption Data Collective, first reported by Reuters, sheds new light on likely military insider trading on the prediction market and the broader risks such activity may pose.
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It comes as policymakers increase scrutiny of the booming industry following bets ahead of U.S. military actions, including that of a U.S. soldier charged in April with using classified information to bet on the removal in January of Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro, which lawmakers have said could hurt national ​security.



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