There are good reasons to not trust perdiction markets too much


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Posted by mh on April 08, 2026 at 17:51:01

In Reply to: Some more data... posted by confused442 on April 08, 2026 at 12:09:53

There are plenty of biases, including the fact that a few big bettors can bias the market and that the types of people who bet in those markets are not a good cross section of the public. They are mostly young males who lean Repub.



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