Chat GPT lays the odds of Bacerra vs Hilton.

MAGA might as well start yelling fraud right now. They have zero chance.

On fundamentals alone:

California voter registration is roughly 45% Democrat and 25% Republican.
Democrats have won every statewide gubernatorial election since 2006.
Gavin Newsom won reelection in 2022 with more than 59% of the vote.

So if I were translating the available evidence into betting odds today, I'd estimate something like:

Candidate Estimated chance
Xavier Becerra 75–90%
Steve Hilton 10–25%

Follow Ups:

• The way Democrats have set the state up there is zero chance wwood2 19:01:36 06/09/26 (12)
  • It's funny how you lie like A biatch with no proof of Bruinfan4ever 04:55:28 06/10/26 (7)
    • Nothing but facts moron. Does the state ballot harvest or not? wwood2 06:27:17 06/10/26 (6)
      • California allows the voter to designate a courier . . . BluBlood 11:47:25 06/10/26 (0)
      • Are all Democrats as low IQ as you are? LMFAO wwood2 06:51:20 06/10/26 (3)
        • Said by stupidest guy in every room w/out a hint of irony* Dr.J 08:51:27 06/10/26 (0)
        • Well you’re the one talking to himself* Fuzzy 07:31:51 06/10/26 (0)
        • The dem with the lowest IQ is not as low as you. LMAO Bruinfan4ever 07:14:26 06/10/26 (0)
      • Yeah show me the "And them some". LMAO. You know Bruinfan4ever 06:45:28 06/10/26 (0)
  • Is that what your mommy read to you instead of Goodnight Moon?* Fuzzy 22:22:16 06/09/26 (0)
  • How about a little self-reflection about how Republicans . . . BluBlood 20:50:27 06/09/26 (1)
    • wood has the self-awareness of a soiled Trump diaper Dr.J 21:41:16 06/09/26 (0)
  • It’s because you MAGA morons are unpopular assh*les Village Idiot Dr.J 19:39:32 06/09/26 (0)

Post a Followup