In Reply to: And what are the Democrats doing? posted by blindness on August 30, 2026 at 10:41:53
minimum. Why f*ck it up when you are likely to win?
You have to realize now that everything is said is put on social media and they will take it and use AI and spin the sh*t anyway.
The latest Silver Bulletin generic-ballot average has Democrats at about D+6.6, with a likely-voter adjustment of D+7.6.
S
Silver Bulletin
FiftyPlusOne's model has D+7 as its median projected national House popular-vote margin and gives Democrats an 85% chance of winning the House.
FiftyPlusOne
Nate Silver's FLIPR currently describes the House as “likely
Silver Bulletin
Another model projects 233 Democratic seats.
Jack's Forecasts
So D+7 is a very strong position for Democrats. It's not literally a guarantee, but under the current 2026 maps, D+7 would generally put Democrats comfortably over the 218-seat threshold.