In Reply to: Today-day-day, he is the luckiest man ... posted by mh on September 28, 2026 at 11:25:43
According to FiftyPlusOne, the Dems have a 71% chance of taking the Senate with 52 seats as the most likely outcome.
According to the Silver Report, the Dems have a 54% to 59% chance of winning the Senate, depending on which of their models they use. The latest seems to be 57% and 51 seats.
According to The Economist, the Dems have a 63% chance of winning the Senate with 52 seats as the most likely outcome.
Polymarket gives the Dems a 63% chance of taking the Senate.