In Reply to: Kalshi crashing over Trump's popularity... posted by confused442 on April 01, 2026 at 22:21:06
Between 6 pm and 8 pm, the bet on Trump approval number fell from 40.2% to 32.2%. That is an 8 point drop or roughly a 20% decrease.
What that means is that the betting markets expect that 1 out of 5 Trump supporters to disapprove of him by whatever news leaked at 6 pm tonight.